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HP (HPQ) Financial Forecast Calculator

Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for HP. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from HP’s most recent SEC filings.

Revenue FY30
$48.02B
from $53.72B
FCF FY30
$2.93B
Margin 6.1%
Enterprise value
$45.47B
0.8× LTM revenue
Equity value
$39.04B
Net debt $6.43B
Revenue & free cash flow - history and 5-year forecast
Line (area)
Bars
Historicals from SEC EDGAR (grey). Forecast years (color) update live as you move the sliders.

Assumptions

Revenue growth (annual)
-2.2%
-10.0%baseline -2.2%40.0%
Gross margin
19.9%
5.0%baseline 19.9%90.0%
Capex % of revenue
1.1%
0.0%baseline 1.1%30.0%
WACC (discount rate)
9.00%
4.0%baseline 9.0%18.0%
Terminal growth
2.50%
0.0%baseline 2.5%5.0%

Need this as an Excel model?

Keep iterating on the HP forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.

income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, brown brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, green brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, red brand palette

Frequently asked

What does HP Inc. do?+

HP Inc. is a leading global provider of personal computing and other access devices, imaging and printing products, and related technologies. The company operates primarily through its Personal Systems and Printing segments, holding top-two global market share positions in both personal computers and desktop/large-format printing.

What are HP's primary revenue drivers?+

HP's revenue is primarily driven by its Personal Systems segment, which accounts for approximately 68% of net revenue, and its Printing segment, contributing about 32%. The company also benefits from globally diversified revenue, with significant contributions from the Americas, EMEA, and Asia Pacific.

Why is HP's capital expenditure so low?+

HP employs an asset-light, outsourced manufacturing business model that relies heavily on contract manufacturers, allowing it to maintain low capital intensity. This strategy results in very low capital expenditure, typically ranging from 1.0% to 1.5% of revenue, with most spend focused on maintenance.

What are the key financial assumptions in the HP Inc. financial model?+

Key financial assumptions in the HP Inc. model include a revenue growth rate of approximately -2.2% and COGS as about 80.1% of revenue. Other notable assumptions are SGA expenses at roughly 9.0% of revenue, a tax rate of approximately 17.9%, and capital expenditure at around 1.08% of revenue.

What is the purpose of the HP Inc. financial model?+

The HP Inc. financial model is designed to forecast the company's cash generation capacity and evaluate its equity valuation. This analysis helps determine if HP's free cash flow can sustain its aggressive share repurchase program and dividend policy amidst cyclical hardware demand.

Can I download an Excel financial model for HP Inc.?+

Yes, an Excel financial model for HP Inc. is available for download. This general corporate model provides a forecast horizon from FY2026 to FY2030, incorporating detailed assumptions for revenue, costs, and capital structure.

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