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Intel (INTC) Financial Forecast Calculator

Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for Intel. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from Intel’s most recent SEC filings.

Revenue FY30
$38.07B
from $54.23B
FCF FY30
-$1.10B
Margin -2.9%
Enterprise value
-$10.27B
-0.2× LTM revenue
Equity value
-$52.03B
Net debt $41.76B
Revenue & free cash flow - history and 5-year forecast
Line (area)
Bars
Historicals from SEC EDGAR (grey). Forecast years (color) update live as you move the sliders.

Assumptions

Revenue growth (annual)
-6.8%
-10.0%baseline -6.8%40.0%
Gross margin
50.5%
5.0%baseline 50.5%90.0%
Capex % of revenue
30.3%
0.0%baseline 30.3%30.0%
WACC (discount rate)
9.00%
4.0%baseline 9.0%18.0%
Terminal growth
2.50%
0.0%baseline 2.5%5.0%

Need this as an Excel model?

Keep iterating on the Intel forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.

income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, brown brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, green brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, red brand palette

Frequently asked

What is Intel's IDM 2.0 business model?+

Intel's IDM 2.0 strategy involves separating its product design businesses from its manufacturing operations. This historic transition aims to establish an internal foundry model, with a goal to reach foundry operating break-even by 2027.

How does Intel generate its revenue?+

Intel designs and manufactures microprocessors, chipsets, and AI accelerators for various devices, including personal computers, data centers, and edge devices. Its primary external revenue segments are Client Computing Group (CCG), Data Center and AI (DCAI), and Network and Edge (NEX).

What is the assumed capital expenditure as a percentage of revenue in the Intel financial model?+

The financial model assumes a Capex_Pct_Revenue of approximately 30.29%. This reflects Intel's asset-heavy business model and the extraordinarily high capital expenditure required for its IDM 2.0 buildout.

What is the primary purpose of the Intel financial model?+

The Intel financial model aims to evaluate the company's sum-of-the-parts equity valuation and assess its liquidity runway. This analysis is crucial as Intel undergoes a massive restructuring and transitions to an internal foundry model.

Can I download an Excel financial model for Intel?+

Yes, an Excel financial model for Intel (INTC) is available for download. It is a general corporate model designed to forecast the company's financials from FY2026 through FY2030.

What is the assumed revenue growth rate for Intel in the financial model?+

The financial model's top assumption for Intel's revenue growth is approximately -6.83%. This reflects the current challenging environment and the company's ongoing restructuring efforts.

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