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Occidental Petroleum (OXY) Financial Forecast Calculator

Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for Occidental Petroleum. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from Occidental Petroleum’s most recent SEC filings.

Revenue FY30
$29.49B
from $23.23B
FCF FY30
$22.02B
Margin 74.7%
Enterprise value
$313.43B
13.5× LTM revenue
Equity value
$289.44B
Net debt $23.99B
Revenue & free cash flow - history and 5-year forecast
Line (area)
Bars
Historicals from SEC EDGAR (grey). Forecast years (color) update live as you move the sliders.

Assumptions

Revenue growth (annual)
4.9%
-10.0%baseline 4.9%40.0%
Gross margin
87.9%
5.0%baseline 87.9%90.0%
Capex % of revenue
19.2%
0.0%baseline 19.2%30.0%
WACC (discount rate)
9.00%
4.0%baseline 9.0%18.0%
Terminal growth
2.50%
0.0%baseline 2.5%5.0%

Need this as an Excel model?

Keep iterating on the Occidental Petroleum forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.

income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, brown brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, green brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, red brand palette

Frequently asked

What is Occidental Petroleum's primary business focus after recent divestitures?+

Following the January 2026 sale of its chemical subsidiary, OxyChem, Occidental Petroleum primarily operates through its Oil and Gas and Midstream and Marketing segments. The company's core upstream assets are concentrated in major basins like the Permian and DJ Basins, as well as the Gulf of Mexico and the Middle East.

How does Occidental Petroleum generate its revenue?+

Occidental Petroleum generates revenue primarily from its Oil and Gas exploration and production (E&P) activities, making its financial performance highly sensitive to global commodity prices. The Oil and Gas segment now accounts for over 90% of its continuing operations revenue after recent portfolio transformations.

What is Occidental Petroleum's capital expenditure strategy?+

Occidental Petroleum's capital expenditure (Capex) is typically 20% to 30% of revenue, though E&P capex is managed to absolute dollar budgets rather than revenue percentages. Approximately 70% to 80% of this capex is sustaining capital required to maintain production levels against natural decline rates, with major projects including the STRATOS Direct Air Capture facility.

What are the key assumptions for Occidental Petroleum's revenue growth and cost of goods sold in financial models?+

In the financial model, Occidental Petroleum's revenue growth is assumed to be approximately 4.89%. The cost of goods sold is modeled as about 12.08% of revenue, reflecting the company's operational cost structure.

What is the main purpose of the Occidental Petroleum financial model?+

The Occidental Petroleum financial model provides a comprehensive equity valuation and cash flow forecast. Its purpose is to assess the company's deleveraging trajectory, shareholder return capacity, and free cash flow generation, especially following the CrownRock acquisition and the strategic divestiture of OxyChem.

Can I download a financial model for Occidental Petroleum (OXY)?+

Yes, a downloadable Excel financial model is available for Occidental Petroleum (OXY). This model offers a forecast horizon from FY2026 through FY2030, allowing for detailed analysis of the company's future performance.

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