Oracle (ORCL) Financial Forecast Calculator
Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for Oracle. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from Oracle’s most recent SEC filings.
Assumptions
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Keep iterating on the Oracle forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.
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Frequently asked
What does Oracle Corporation do?+
Oracle Corporation provides enterprise software, cloud infrastructure, and hardware systems to corporate and government clients globally. The company is transitioning its business model from high-margin software licensing to a more capital-intensive cloud infrastructure provider, driven by artificial intelligence workloads.
How does Oracle generate its revenue?+
Oracle generates revenue primarily from Cloud Services and License Support, which accounts for approximately 75% of its total revenue. Other significant segments include Cloud License and On-Premise License, Hardware, and Services.
What are the key assumptions in Oracle's financial model regarding capital expenditures?+
The financial model assumes Oracle's capital expenditure as a percentage of revenue is approximately 8.3%, though it is projected to surge to an unprecedented 70% to 80% in Fiscal 2026. This significant increase is primarily growth capex dedicated to building AI data centers and purchasing GPUs to fulfill a massive $553 billion Remaining Performance Obligations backlog.
What is the forecast horizon for the Oracle financial model?+
The downloadable Excel model for Oracle Corporation provides financial forecasts spanning from Fiscal Year 2026 through Fiscal Year 2030. This allows users to analyze the company's projected performance over a five-year period.
What is the purpose of the Oracle financial model?+
The Oracle financial model is designed to forecast the company's three-statement financials and free cash flow to determine its equity valuation and assess credit risk. It specifically evaluates whether the massive artificial intelligence infrastructure capital expenditure program will generate sufficient return on invested capital to justify the resulting debt load.
What is Oracle's working capital profile?+
Oracle operates with a deeply negative net working capital as a percentage of revenue, primarily because customers often pay upfront for annual software subscriptions and support. This generates massive deferred revenue balances, with short-term deferred revenue typically exceeding $9 billion.
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