O’Reilly Automotive (ORLY) Financial Forecast Calculator
Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for O’Reilly Automotive. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from O’Reilly Automotive’s most recent SEC filings.
Assumptions
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Keep iterating on the O’Reilly Automotive forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.
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Frequently asked
What is O'Reilly Automotive's core business model?+
O'Reilly Automotive is a leading specialty retailer of automotive aftermarket parts, tools, and accessories in North America. The company employs a dual-market strategy, serving both Do-It-Yourself (DIY) retail customers and professional service providers (DIFM) from its extensive store base. It maintains an asset-heavy retail and distribution network, utilizing a tiered system to ensure quick access to parts.
How does O'Reilly Automotive generate its revenue?+
O'Reilly Automotive generates consolidated revenue primarily through store count expansion and comparable store sales. Its revenue is split approximately 50% from Do-It-Yourself (DIY) customers and 50% from professional service providers (DIFM). The company has a growing presence in the United States, Mexico, and Canada.
Why does O'Reilly Automotive operate with negative working capital?+
O'Reilly Automotive operates with heavily negative working capital due to its efficient management of payables and inventory. The company funds its entire inventory balance through extremely high Days Payable Outstanding (around 280 to 300 days) while maintaining very low Days Sales Outstanding (under 10 days). This structural advantage allows it to effectively utilize supplier financing.
What is O'Reilly Automotive's capital expenditure strategy?+
O'Reilly Automotive's capital expenditure strategy is primarily growth-oriented, funding 225 to 235 new store openings per year and the construction of new distribution centers. Capex is guided to be between 6.0% to 7.5% of revenue, with recent bolt-on acquisitions also contributing to its expansion into new geographies.
What is the purpose of the O'Reilly Automotive financial model?+
The O'Reilly Automotive financial model projects store-level economics, working capital dynamics, and aggressive share repurchase activity. Its primary purpose is to determine the equity valuation of O'Reilly Automotive for a fundamental equity investor. The model forecasts financial performance from FY2026 through FY2030.
Can I download an Excel financial model for O'Reilly Automotive?+
Yes, an Excel financial model for O'Reilly Automotive is available for download. This general corporate model provides projections for the company's financials from FY2026 to FY2030, including key assumptions like revenue growth and cost structures.
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