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Sysco (SYY) Financial Forecast Calculator

Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for Sysco. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from Sysco’s most recent SEC filings.

Revenue FY30
$102.87B
from $76.33B
FCF FY30
$2.27B
Margin 2.2%
Enterprise value
$35.93B
0.5× LTM revenue
Equity value
$24.69B
Net debt $11.24B
Revenue & free cash flow - history and 5-year forecast
Line (area)
Bars
Historicals from SEC EDGAR (grey). Forecast years (color) update live as you move the sliders.

Assumptions

Revenue growth (annual)
6.2%
-10.0%baseline 6.2%40.0%
Gross margin
18.4%
5.0%baseline 18.4%90.0%
Capex % of revenue
1.1%
0.0%baseline 1.1%30.0%
WACC (discount rate)
9.00%
4.0%baseline 9.0%18.0%
Terminal growth
2.50%
0.0%baseline 2.5%5.0%

Need this as an Excel model?

Keep iterating on the Sysco forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.

income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, brown brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, green brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, red brand palette

Frequently asked

What does Sysco Corporation do?+

Sysco Corporation is the global leader in selling, marketing, and distributing food and non-food products to various customers who prepare meals away from home. These customers include restaurants, healthcare and educational facilities, and lodging establishments. The company operates a highly efficient, asset-heavy distribution network.

How does Sysco generate revenue and what are its main business segments?+

Sysco generates revenue by distributing food and non-food products, with its business model relying heavily on route density, drop size, and local customer mix to drive profitability. Its primary business segments include U.S. Foodservice Operations (approximately 70% of revenue), International Foodservice Operations (approximately 18% of revenue), and SYGMA (approximately 10% of revenue).

What is Sysco's capital expenditure strategy and how much does it spend on capex?+

Sysco's capital expenditure typically ranges from 1.0% to 1.2% of revenue, amounting to approximately $700 million to $800 million annually. Roughly 70% of this capex is for maintenance, such as fleet replacement and facility upkeep, while 30% is allocated for growth initiatives like facility expansion and automation.

How does Sysco manage profitability in its low-margin industry?+

Sysco operates in a low-margin, high-volume distribution business where profitability relies on driving operating leverage, managing route density, and effectively passing through food cost inflation. The company also focuses on strategic sourcing initiatives and continuous cost-out targets to offset supply chain and wage inflation.

What is the purpose of the financial model for Sysco (SYY)?+

The financial model for Sysco provides a comprehensive equity valuation and operational benchmarking tool. It is designed to assess Sysco's ability to drive operating leverage, manage route density, and pass through food cost inflation in its distribution business. The model helps understand the company's financial performance and future prospects.

Can I download an Excel financial model for Sysco (SYY) and what is its forecast horizon?+

Yes, an Excel financial model for Sysco (SYY) is available for download, offering a comprehensive analysis of the company's financials. This model provides a forecast horizon covering fiscal years 2026 through 2030, allowing for long-term financial projections and valuation.

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