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Carrier Global (CARR) Financial Forecast Calculator

Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for Carrier Global. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from Carrier Global’s most recent SEC filings.

Revenue FY30
$19.39B
from $18.95B
FCF FY30
$1.02B
Margin 5.3%
Enterprise value
$17.38B
0.9× LTM revenue
Equity value
$14.87B
Net debt $2.51B
Revenue & free cash flow - history and 5-year forecast
Line (area)
Bars
Historicals from SEC EDGAR (grey). Forecast years (color) update live as you move the sliders.

Assumptions

Revenue growth (annual)
0.5%
-10.0%baseline 0.5%40.0%
Gross margin
24.9%
5.0%baseline 24.9%90.0%
Capex % of revenue
1.8%
0.0%baseline 1.8%30.0%
WACC (discount rate)
9.00%
4.0%baseline 9.0%18.0%
Terminal growth
2.50%
0.0%baseline 2.5%5.0%

Need this as an Excel model?

Keep iterating on the Carrier Global forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.

income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, brown brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, green brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, red brand palette

Frequently asked

What does Carrier Global Corporation do after its portfolio transformation?+

Carrier Global Corporation is now a pure-play provider of intelligent climate and energy solutions, focusing on heating, ventilation, air conditioning (HVAC), and transport refrigeration. This transformation, completed in late 2024, involved divesting its Fire & Security and Commercial Refrigeration businesses and acquiring Viessmann Climate Solutions. The company emphasizes sustainable climate technologies and an asset-light manufacturing model.

How does Carrier Global generate revenue and what are its key business segments?+

Carrier Global generates revenue through its climate and energy solutions, including HVAC and transport refrigeration products and services, with a strong focus on high-margin, recurring aftermarket services and digitally enabled lifecycle solutions. Its primary business segments are Climate Solutions Americas, Climate Solutions Europe, Climate Solutions Asia Pacific Middle East & Africa, and Climate Solutions Transportation.

What are the primary capital expenditure assumptions for Carrier Global in the financial model?+

The financial model assumes Carrier Global's capital expenditure as a percentage of revenue runs consistently between 1.5% and 2.0%. This capex is split approximately 60% for maintenance and 40% for growth, with growth investments targeting factory automation and new heat pump production lines.

What are some key profitability assumptions used in the Carrier Global financial model?+

Key profitability assumptions in the Carrier Global financial model include Cost of Goods Sold (COGS) as approximately 75.14% of revenue and Selling, General, and Administrative (SGA) expenses as approximately 14.26% of revenue. Research and Development (RD) is assumed to be about 2.40% of revenue.

What is the main purpose of the Carrier Global financial model and its forecast timeline?+

The Carrier Global financial model serves as a comprehensive equity valuation and scenario planning tool for equity research analysts. It is designed to assess the company following its significant 2024 portfolio transformation and has a forecast horizon from FY2026 through FY2030.

Is there a downloadable financial model available for Carrier Global, and what is its primary use?+

Yes, a downloadable Excel financial model is available for Carrier Global. Its primary use is to provide a detailed framework for equity research analysts to perform equity valuation and scenario planning for the company.

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