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Comfort Systems USA (FIX) Financial Forecast Calculator

Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for Comfort Systems USA. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from Comfort Systems USA’s most recent SEC filings.

Revenue FY30
$12.31B
from $5.21B
FCF FY30
$546.2M
Margin 4.4%
Enterprise value
$7.17B
1.4× LTM revenue
Equity value
$7.65B
Net debt -$481.6M
Revenue & free cash flow - history and 5-year forecast
Line (area)
Bars
Historicals from SEC EDGAR (grey). Forecast years (color) update live as you move the sliders.

Assumptions

Revenue growth (annual)
18.8%
-10.0%baseline 18.8%40.0%
Gross margin
18.7%
5.0%baseline 18.7%90.0%
Capex % of revenue
1.2%
0.0%baseline 1.2%30.0%
WACC (discount rate)
9.00%
4.0%baseline 9.0%18.0%
Terminal growth
2.50%
0.0%baseline 2.5%5.0%

Need this as an Excel model?

Keep iterating on the Comfort Systems USA forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.

income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, brown brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, green brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, red brand palette

Frequently asked

What services does Comfort Systems USA (FIX) provide?+

Comfort Systems USA is a leading national provider of mechanical, electrical, and plumbing (MEP) contracting services, primarily for commercial, industrial, and institutional markets. The company specializes in designing, engineering, integrating, installing, and maintaining HVAC, plumbing, piping, and electrical systems, with a recent expansion into modular construction for advanced technology plants.

How does Comfort Systems USA generate its revenue?+

Comfort Systems USA generates revenue primarily through percentage-of-completion project accounting within its asset-light, project-based contracting and services model. Its business is segmented into Mechanical Services, accounting for approximately 73% of revenue, and Electrical Services, making up about 27%.

What is Comfort Systems USA's capital expenditure strategy?+

Comfort Systems USA operates with a highly asset-light business model, with capital expenditure typically representing 1.0% to 1.5% of its revenue. Most of this capex is for maintenance, such as vehicle fleet replacement and tool upgrades, though investments are also made in modular construction fabrication facilities.

What is the purpose of the Comfort Systems USA financial model?+

The Comfort Systems USA financial model provides a comprehensive three-statement forecast and discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation. Its primary purpose is to assist equity research analysts in determining the intrinsic value of the shares and assessing the financial impact of the company's ongoing roll-up acquisition strategy.

Can I download an Excel financial model for Comfort Systems USA (FIX)?+

Yes, a downloadable Excel financial model for Comfort Systems USA (FIX) is available. This model offers a detailed forecast horizon from FY2026 through FY2030, enabling thorough analysis of the company's future financial performance and key assumptions.

How does Comfort Systems USA's acquisition strategy impact its financial model?+

Comfort Systems USA is a serial acquirer, typically completing 2-4 bolt-on or transformational acquisitions annually, which is a significant driver of its growth. This M&A strategy results in a balance sheet with extremely high goodwill and intangible assets, often representing 40-50% of total assets.

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