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General Dynamics (GD) Financial Forecast Calculator

Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for General Dynamics. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from General Dynamics’s most recent SEC filings.

Revenue FY30
$46.23B
from $42.27B
FCF FY30
$14.65B
Margin 31.7%
Enterprise value
$208.31B
4.9× LTM revenue
Equity value
$201.24B
Net debt $7.07B
Revenue & free cash flow - history and 5-year forecast
Line (area)
Bars
Historicals from SEC EDGAR (grey). Forecast years (color) update live as you move the sliders.

Assumptions

Revenue growth (annual)
1.8%
-10.0%baseline 1.8%40.0%
Gross margin
45.0%
5.0%baseline 45.0%90.0%
Capex % of revenue
2.5%
0.0%baseline 2.5%30.0%
WACC (discount rate)
9.00%
4.0%baseline 9.0%18.0%
Terminal growth
2.50%
0.0%baseline 2.5%5.0%

Need this as an Excel model?

Keep iterating on the General Dynamics forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.

income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, brown brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, green brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, red brand palette

Frequently asked

What are General Dynamics' primary business segments and what do they offer?+

General Dynamics operates through four main segments: Marine Systems, Technologies, Aerospace, and Combat Systems. These segments provide a range of products and services including business aviation, ship construction, land combat vehicles, weapons systems, and technology products. The company serves both the US Department of Defense and commercial aviation markets.

What are the main drivers of General Dynamics' revenue across its diverse operations?+

General Dynamics' revenue is primarily driven by defense budget appropriations from the US Department of Defense and allied nations. Additionally, backlog conversion rates for its defense contracts and demand within the business jet market, particularly through its Gulfstream subsidiary, are significant contributors.

What is the assumed capital expenditure as a percentage of revenue in the General Dynamics financial model?+

In the General Dynamics financial model, the assumed capital expenditure (Capex) as a percentage of revenue is approximately 2.47%. This rate reflects the company's ongoing investments, which are currently elevated to expand submarine production capacity and Gulfstream service centers.

What is the main purpose of the General Dynamics financial model for an equity analyst?+

The General Dynamics financial model is designed to project the company's consolidated earnings and cash flow, as well as its overall valuation. This enables an equity analyst to determine a target price for GD stock and assess the sustainability of its dividends.

Is there a downloadable Excel financial model available for General Dynamics (GD)?+

Yes, there is a downloadable Excel financial model available for General Dynamics. This model projects the company's financials from FY2026 to FY2030, based on key assumptions like revenue growth and margin percentages.

How does General Dynamics manage its working capital, given its business model?+

General Dynamics frequently operates with favorable working capital dynamics due to customer advances and progress payments. These payments, categorized as Contract Liabilities, help fund the build-up of inventory, particularly in the Aerospace segment.

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