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Illinois Tool Works (ITW) Financial Forecast Calculator

Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for Illinois Tool Works. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from Illinois Tool Works’s most recent SEC filings.

Revenue FY30
$19.01B
from $16.11B
FCF FY30
$3.92B
Margin 20.6%
Enterprise value
$56.25B
3.5× LTM revenue
Equity value
$49.33B
Net debt $6.92B
Revenue & free cash flow - history and 5-year forecast
Line (area)
Bars
Historicals from SEC EDGAR (grey). Forecast years (color) update live as you move the sliders.

Assumptions

Revenue growth (annual)
3.4%
-10.0%baseline 3.4%40.0%
Gross margin
44.8%
5.0%baseline 44.8%90.0%
Capex % of revenue
2.3%
0.0%baseline 2.3%30.0%
WACC (discount rate)
9.00%
4.0%baseline 9.0%18.0%
Terminal growth
2.50%
0.0%baseline 2.5%5.0%

Need this as an Excel model?

Keep iterating on the Illinois Tool Works forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.

income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, brown brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, green brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, red brand palette

Frequently asked

What does Illinois Tool Works (ITW) do?+

Illinois Tool Works (ITW) is a Fortune 500 global multi-industrial manufacturing leader that produces highly engineered fasteners, components, equipment, and consumable systems. The company operates a highly decentralized structure across seven business segments, applying an "80/20 Front-to-Back" business model to optimize product lines and reduce operational complexity.

How does Illinois Tool Works (ITW) generate revenue?+

ITW generates revenue through the sale of highly engineered products and systems across diverse industrial segments like Automotive OEM, Food Equipment, and Welding. A significant portion of its revenue comes from a "razor and razorblade" strategy, where high-margin consumables generate recurring sales after initial equipment purchases.

What is the typical capital expenditure as a percentage of revenue for Illinois Tool Works (ITW)?+

Illinois Tool Works (ITW) is highly capital efficient, with capital expenditure typically ranging from 2.0% to 3.0% of revenue. Approximately 60% of this capex is for maintenance, while the remaining 40% is allocated to growth and productivity automation projects.

What are the key balance sheet characteristics for Illinois Tool Works (ITW)?+

Goodwill and intangible assets represent the largest portion of ITW's balance sheet, making up approximately 45-50% of total assets, reflecting its history of bolt-on acquisitions. The company maintains positive working capital, typically 8-10% of revenue, managed tightly using its 80/20 principles.

What is the purpose of the downloadable financial model for Illinois Tool Works (ITW)?+

The downloadable financial model for ITW serves as a comprehensive equity valuation and scenario planning tool for analysts. It focuses on forecasting segment-level organic growth and quantifying the impact of the company's proprietary 80/20 enterprise initiatives on operating margin expansion.

What are the primary geographic markets for Illinois Tool Works (ITW)?+

Illinois Tool Works primarily operates in North America, which accounts for approximately 45-50% of its revenue. Europe, Middle East, and Africa contribute about 25-30%, while Asia Pacific, including strong growth in China, makes up 20-25% of its sales.

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