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International Paper (IP) Financial Forecast Calculator

Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for International Paper. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from International Paper’s most recent SEC filings.

Revenue FY30
$13.57B
from $16.03B
FCF FY30
$2.27B
Margin 16.8%
Enterprise value
$37.18B
2.3× LTM revenue
Equity value
$32.69B
Net debt $4.49B
Revenue & free cash flow - history and 5-year forecast
Line (area)
Bars
Historicals from SEC EDGAR (grey). Forecast years (color) update live as you move the sliders.

Assumptions

Revenue growth (annual)
-3.3%
-10.0%baseline -3.3%40.0%
Gross margin
29.2%
5.0%baseline 29.2%90.0%
Capex % of revenue
4.8%
0.0%baseline 4.8%30.0%
WACC (discount rate)
9.00%
4.0%baseline 9.0%18.0%
Terminal growth
2.50%
0.0%baseline 2.5%5.0%

Need this as an Excel model?

Keep iterating on the International Paper forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.

income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, brown brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, green brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, red brand palette

Other Materials forecasts

Run the same calculator on a peer.

Frequently asked

What is International Paper's core business focus?+

International Paper operates as a pure-play packaging manufacturer, converting wood fiber and recovered paper into corrugated boxes and containerboard. The company holds dominant market shares in North America and EMEA, providing essential products for various industries.

What are the main revenue segments for International Paper?+

International Paper's revenue primarily comes from two pro-forma segments: North America Packaging, contributing approximately 64% of revenue, and EMEA Packaging, making up about 36%. These segments reflect the company's focus on corrugated packaging across key geographies.

What is the revenue growth assumption in the International Paper financial model?+

The financial model for International Paper assumes a revenue growth rate of approximately -3.27%. This specific assumption is used for forecasting the company's performance within the model's FY2026–FY2030 horizon.

What is the primary purpose of the International Paper financial model?+

The model provides a sum-of-the-parts equity valuation and scenario analysis tool for International Paper. It is designed to evaluate the company's upcoming 2027 geographic spin-off, while also adjusting for the recent DS Smith acquisition and Global Cellulose Fibers divestiture.

What is International Paper's capital expenditure strategy?+

International Paper's capital expenditure averages 7% to 9% of revenue, with approximately 70% allocated to maintenance and regulatory needs, and 30% to cost reduction and growth initiatives. The company has targeted significant capex for 2026, including specific investments of $400 million in its EMEA business.

Is there a downloadable financial model available for International Paper?+

Yes, an Excel financial model for International Paper is available for download. This model provides a forecast horizon from FY2026 through FY2030, offering detailed financial projections and analysis.

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