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Martin Marietta Materials (MLM) Financial Forecast Calculator

Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for Martin Marietta Materials. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from Martin Marietta Materials’s most recent SEC filings.

Revenue FY30
$7.61B
from $5.85B
FCF FY30
$948.3M
Margin 12.5%
Enterprise value
$14.68B
2.5× LTM revenue
Equity value
$10.54B
Net debt $4.14B
Revenue & free cash flow - history and 5-year forecast
Line (area)
Bars
Historicals from SEC EDGAR (grey). Forecast years (color) update live as you move the sliders.

Assumptions

Revenue growth (annual)
5.4%
-10.0%baseline 5.4%40.0%
Gross margin
25.8%
5.0%baseline 25.8%90.0%
Capex % of revenue
8.5%
0.0%baseline 8.5%30.0%
WACC (discount rate)
9.00%
4.0%baseline 9.0%18.0%
Terminal growth
2.50%
0.0%baseline 2.5%5.0%

Need this as an Excel model?

Keep iterating on the Martin Marietta Materials forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.

income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, brown brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, green brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, red brand palette

Frequently asked

What does Martin Marietta Materials (MLM) do?+

Martin Marietta Materials is a leading U.S. natural resource-based building materials company. It primarily supplies aggregates, cement, ready-mixed concrete, asphalt, and magnesia-based chemicals, operating across 28 states, Canada, and The Bahamas.

What are the main revenue drivers for Martin Marietta Materials?+

Martin Marietta's revenue is primarily driven by its Building Materials segment, with aggregates accounting for approximately 88% of its gross profit. The company's asset-heavy business model relies on extensive mineral reserves and localized distribution networks to serve construction and infrastructure projects.

What is the typical capital expenditure profile for Martin Marietta Materials?+

Martin Marietta Materials has a significant capital expenditure profile, with Capex historically ranging around 12-14% of revenue. Approximately 60% of this capital expenditure is for maintenance, covering stripping costs and equipment replacement, while 40% is allocated to growth initiatives like new quarries and automation.

What are the key working capital characteristics of Martin Marietta Materials?+

Martin Marietta Materials generally maintains positive but tightly managed net working capital. Its working capital profile includes a Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) of 40-45 days, Days Inventory Outstanding (DIO) of 35-45 days due to outdoor storage of aggregates, and Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) of 30-40 days.

What are the primary assets considered in a financial model for Martin Marietta Materials?+

The vast majority of Martin Marietta Materials' asset base, totaling $15-17 billion, consists of Property, Plant & Equipment (PP&E) and Mineral Reserves. Goodwill and intangibles are also significant due to the company's highly acquisitive M&A strategy.

Can I download a financial model for Martin Marietta Materials (MLM)?+

Yes, a comprehensive equity valuation and scenario planning Excel model for Martin Marietta Materials (MLM) is available for download. This model forecasts financials through FY2030 and focuses on the financial impact of the company's strategic portfolio realignment.

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