All companies
TransDigm Group logo
IndustrialsTDG

TransDigm Group (TDG) Financial Forecast Calculator

Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for TransDigm Group. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from TransDigm Group’s most recent SEC filings.

Revenue FY30
$9.06B
from $6.58B
FCF FY30
$2.09B
Margin 23.1%
Enterprise value
$38.69B
5.9× LTM revenue
Equity value
$20.56B
Net debt $18.13B
Revenue & free cash flow - history and 5-year forecast
Line (area)
Bars
Historicals from SEC EDGAR (grey). Forecast years (color) update live as you move the sliders.

Assumptions

Revenue growth (annual)
6.6%
-10.0%baseline 6.6%40.0%
Gross margin
54.5%
5.0%baseline 54.5%90.0%
Capex % of revenue
2.1%
0.0%baseline 2.1%30.0%
WACC (discount rate)
9.00%
4.0%baseline 9.0%18.0%
Terminal growth
2.50%
0.0%baseline 2.5%5.0%

Need this as an Excel model?

Keep iterating on the TransDigm Group forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.

income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, brown brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, green brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, red brand palette

Frequently asked

What does TransDigm Group (TDG) do?+

TransDigm Group designs, produces, and supplies highly engineered, proprietary aircraft components for both commercial and military aircraft. Its business model focuses on asset-light manufacturing with a significant aftermarket moat, where over 90% of sales are proprietary products.

What drives TransDigm Group's revenue growth and profitability?+

TransDigm's revenue is primarily driven by its proprietary products and strong aftermarket sales, which generate the vast majority of its profitability. The company holds monopolistic or oligopolistic positions in niche component markets, allowing it immense pricing power.

What is TransDigm Group's capital expenditure strategy?+

TransDigm Group maintains an extremely low capital intensity, with capex typically 2-3% of revenue, primarily for maintenance and minor tooling. Its manufacturing operations are decentralized across over 50 operating units, and it does not have major capex programs.

Why does TransDigm Group have such a high proportion of goodwill and intangible assets on its balance sheet?+

Goodwill and Intangible Assets make up over 75% of TransDigm's total assets, reflecting its serial acquisition strategy. The company frequently executes both bolt-on and transformational deals, paying typical acquisition multiples of 12x-15x post-synergy EBITDA.

Can I download a financial model for TransDigm Group (TDG)?+

Yes, a downloadable Excel financial model is available for TransDigm Group (TDG). This model evaluates the company's equity valuation and credit profile, with a forecast horizon from FY2026 to FY2030.

What is TransDigm Group's competitive advantage in the aerospace industry?+

TransDigm Group's competitive advantage stems from its proprietary manufacturing operation and massive aftermarket moat, where over 90% of sales are proprietary products. It holds monopolistic or oligopolistic positions in niche component markets, granting it significant pricing power and high barriers to entry.

Have more financial modelling questions? Contact us

Go further

Build the financial model you need with Fina

Browse templates, examples, and downloadable Excel models for the analysis you are trying to build. If you can't find your model, ask Fina to build a model for your specific needs.

Start for free
Excel financial model spreadsheet preview showing Customer Rollforward
Fina interactive chat interface preview