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Wabtec (WAB) Financial Forecast Calculator

Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for Wabtec. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from Wabtec’s most recent SEC filings.

Revenue FY30
$11.90B
from $9.68B
FCF FY30
$1.56B
Margin 13.1%
Enterprise value
$23.10B
2.4× LTM revenue
Equity value
$19.66B
Net debt $3.44B
Revenue & free cash flow - history and 5-year forecast
Line (area)
Bars
Historicals from SEC EDGAR (grey). Forecast years (color) update live as you move the sliders.

Assumptions

Revenue growth (annual)
4.2%
-10.0%baseline 4.2%40.0%
Gross margin
29.4%
5.0%baseline 29.4%90.0%
Capex % of revenue
1.9%
0.0%baseline 1.9%30.0%
WACC (discount rate)
9.00%
4.0%baseline 9.0%18.0%
Terminal growth
2.50%
0.0%baseline 2.5%5.0%

Need this as an Excel model?

Keep iterating on the Wabtec forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.

income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, brown brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, green brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, red brand palette

Frequently asked

What does Wabtec Corporation do?+

Wabtec (Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation) is a leading global provider of equipment, systems, digital solutions, and services for the freight and transit rail sectors. The company manufactures diesel-electric and battery-electric locomotives, transit cars, and rail control systems, also offering highly profitable recurring revenue from servicing its large installed base.

What are the primary revenue drivers for Wabtec's business?+

Wabtec's revenue is primarily driven by a global locomotive fleet renewal cycle and its high-margin aftermarket services business. The company's massive installed base of nearly 24,600 locomotives ensures a resilient stream of aftermarket parts and services revenue.

What are the key assumptions used in the Wabtec financial model regarding capital expenditures?+

The financial model assumes capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue are approximately 1.89%. This low percentage for an industrial company reflects a split of approximately 60% maintenance capex and 40% growth capex, focused on facility modernization and automation.

How does the financial model evaluate Wabtec's valuation and free cash flow?+

The financial model evaluates Wabtec's equity valuation and free cash flow generation capacity to help determine if its Integration 3.0 cost savings, global locomotive fleet renewal cycle, and high-margin aftermarket services justify its current market premium. It aims to assess the company's ability to generate cash for equity holders.

Can I download an Excel financial model for Wabtec?+

Yes, an Excel financial model for Wabtec is available for download. This model provides a forecast horizon from fiscal year 2026 through fiscal year 2030, offering detailed financial projections.

What is Wabtec's business model for its freight segment?+

Wabtec's freight segment, which comprises 72% of its 2025 revenue, operates on a "razor and blades" industrial framework. While initial equipment sales are capital intensive and cyclical, the large installed base of locomotives drives a highly resilient, high-margin aftermarket parts and services business.

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