Waste Management (WM) Financial Forecast Calculator
Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for Waste Management. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from Waste Management’s most recent SEC filings.
Assumptions
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Keep iterating on the Waste Management forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.
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Frequently asked
What services does Waste Management (WM) provide to its customers?+
Waste Management is North America's largest provider of comprehensive environmental solutions. The company offers waste collection, transfer, disposal, recycling, and renewable energy services to a diverse customer base including residential, commercial, industrial, and municipal clients.
What are the primary revenue drivers for Waste Management?+
Waste Management's revenue is primarily driven by its Collection and Disposal segment, which accounts for approximately 85% of its total revenue. Other significant contributors include WM Healthcare Solutions (post-Stericycle acquisition), Recycling Processing and Sales, and Renewable Energy services.
What is Waste Management's typical capital expenditure as a percentage of revenue?+
Waste Management's capital expenditure typically ranges between 10.0% and 12.5% of its revenue. This figure is currently elevated due to significant sustainability growth investments, particularly in new renewable natural gas facilities and recycling plant upgrades.
What is the main purpose of the financial model for Waste Management?+
The financial model provides a comprehensive 3-statement forecast and sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) valuation for Waste Management. It helps equity research analysts determine the intrinsic value of the core solid waste business, evaluate the cash flow accretion from the Stericycle acquisition, and assess returns on renewable natural gas and recycling automation investments.
Is an Excel financial model available for Waste Management (WM)?+
Yes, an Excel financial model for Waste Management is available for download. This model offers a detailed forecast from FY2026 to FY2030, incorporating key assumptions for revenue growth, margins, and capital expenditures.
How does Waste Management's asset-heavy business model contribute to its competitive position?+
Waste Management operates an asset-heavy, vertically integrated network model, owning critical downstream assets like landfills. This ownership creates a significant competitive moat by making these assets hard to replicate and allowing the company to internalize collected waste efficiently.
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