SWORD Health Financial Model
Health-tech Startup Financials (Free Excel Download)
Virtual clinical-grade musculoskeletal (MSK) physical therapy delivered via licensed PTs + wearable sensors, sold B2B to self-funded employers.
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About this model
Sword Health delivers virtual clinical-grade musculoskeletal physical therapy through licensed PTs and wearable sensors. It gives self-funded employers and other health buyers a scalable alternative to traditional therapy, combining digital engagement with clinical support and measurable treatment activity.
The B2B model depends on covered lives, enrolment, PMPM or episode revenue, therapist capacity, hardware costs, and outcomes guarantees. Customer growth requires demonstrating access, engagement, and MSK outcomes while managing the care-delivery costs that sit behind a technology-enabled proposition.
The model forecasts covered lives, enrolment, PMPM or episode revenue, therapist capacity, hardware cost, outcomes guarantees, and renewal. It includes PT labour, member support, enterprise sales, gross margin, operating cash flow, cash burn, and runway.
A turnkey financial model
Live formulas, no hardcoded values
Outputs are driven by live formulas, so the workbook updates from its assumptions instead of relying on hardcoded results.
All assumptions in one tab
Inputs are clearly marked in the Assumptions tab and separated from calculations, making it clear what to change and what to leave intact.
Statements always balancing
For integrated-statement models, the balance sheet, cash flow, and supporting schedules tie through properly.
Distinct schedules for clarity
Debt, working capital, taxes, and cash flow can get messy quickly. We group calculations in clear schedules, not across disconnected tabs.
No hidden macros or external links
There are no unexplained external workbook links or macros to undermine auditability or portability.
Changes flow through the model
Update a key driver and see the impact carry through the forecast, financing, and return outputs. We never use hardcoded numbers in formulas.
About SWORD Health
swordhealth.com
How to build a detailed financial model for SWORD Health
A complete walkthrough of the business, drivers, and assumptions behind the downloadable SWORD Health model - distilled from its pitch deck and publicly available information.
Product & value proposition
- Virtual MSK physical therapy platform combining licensed Doctors of Physical Therapy (DPTs) with wearable sensor devices that provide real-time movement feedback.
- Treats all major joints: Lower Back, Shoulder, Neck, Knee, Hip, Elbow, Ankle, Wrist (wrist new for 2021).
- Covers both chronic pain management and post-surgical rehabilitation.
- PTs deliver 100% of human care; sensors claimed up to 4x more accurate than the human eye.
- SWORD claims to own 70% of all digital MSK patents; 200+ movements covered.
- Mission: "Free two billion people from chronic and post-surgical musculoskeletal pain."
Market
- MSK is the #1 cost driver for self-funded employers - 85% of large employers rank it as a top-3 health cost condition.
- MSK per-capita expenditure in the US grew from ~$280 (2000) to ~$600 (2012), exceeding Cancer (~$410) and Mental Health (~$290) combined by 2012.
- No explicit TAM/SAM/SOM figures in dollar terms provided in the deck.
- Competitive context: MSK is the fastest-growing employer health cost category.
Revenue model
- B2B2C: contracts with self-funded employers (and likely TPAs/health plans as distribution partners).
- No explicit pricing (PEPM rate, per-episode fee, or subscription price) disclosed in the deck.
- Revenue unit is employer groups - referenced case study of a 40,000-life employer.
- Typical digital MSK pricing in this era: $400–$700 PEPM for eligible members, or per-episode flat fee ($800–$1,500); exact structure not in deck.
Traction & metrics
- 8x revenue increase from 2020 to 2021.
- #1 fastest-growing MSK solution in the US market (self-claimed).
- 2M+ digital PT minutes delivered in 2020.
- 89% treatment completion rate (vs. 73% other digital MSK, 30% traditional PT).
- 9/10 member satisfaction score.
- 1 in 2 members did exercises on Christmas Day 2020 (engagement anecdote).
- 12% of members receive a prescription for a different body area than their reported pain location.
- PT adjustment cadence: 2–4x per week program updates per member.
- No absolute revenue figures, member counts, or ARR/MRR disclosed.
Unit economics
- Clinical outcomes (reduction in per-member cost drivers):
- Pain: ↓70%
- Surgery intent: ↓64%
- Medication consumption: ↓48%
- Depression: ↓52%
- Anxiety: ↓35%
- Productivity: ↑32%
- No CAC, LTV, gross margin, or payback period figures in the deck.
- Gross margin likely 50–65%: PT labor is the primary COGS; sensor hardware is amortized or included in onboarding; benchmark for virtual-care B2B companies at scale.
Competition / moat
- SWORD claims coverage of joints competitors do not cover (teal vs. grey in donut chart, slide 11) - e.g. Elbow, Ankle, Wrist exclusive to SWORD in 2021.
- Claimed 70% ownership of digital MSK patents.
- Sensor-based real-time feedback vs. video/app-only competitors.
- 100% licensed DPT delivery (vs. health coaches or AI-only alternatives).
- Named competitors not listed in deck; competitive framing is implied (other digital MSK solutions benchmarked at 73% completion rate vs. SWORD's 89%).
- Founded in Europe (2015); regulatory compliance stack: CE, GDPR, FDA, HIPAA, HITRUST, SOC 2, Australian TGA.
Team & funding ask / use of funds
- Founder & CEO: Virgilio Bento, PhD
- Co-Founder & CSO: Márcio Colunas
- CMO: Fernando Correia, MD
- General Counsel: Erica Pham (former VP Legal, Clover Health)
- Chief Talent Officer: Thach Nguyen (former Airbnb Global HR)
- SVP Commercial: Kyle Spackman (former Head of Enterprise Sales, Artemis Health)
- VP Customer Success: Kris Davis (former Virta Health)
- VP Partnerships: Ashley Ortega (former Virta Health)
- VP Growth: Alexandre Droulers (former Uber JUMP)
- VP Finance: Scott Albrecht (former MealPal)
- VP Enrollment Marketing: Steve Collins (former Rally Health)
- No funding ask amount, use of funds, or previous round details disclosed in the deck.
Recommended financial model
- Archetype + why: B2B Digital Health / Employer-Benefits ARR model. Revenue is driven by employer contracts (lives covered × PEPM or per-episode fee). Structure mirrors SaaS ARR but with employer cohort logic: new logos added per quarter, eligible-member penetration rate, and per-member fee. This is the standard model for virtual-care companies (Hinge Health, Sword, Kaia) selling to self-insured employers.
- Forecast horizon & granularity: 5-year annual model (2021–2025) with quarterly detail for Year 1–2. Monthly unnecessary without contract-level data.
- Key drivers & assumptions:
| Driver | Value |
|---|---|
| Starting employer logos (end 2020) | Unknown |
| Average lives per employer | 5,000–40,000 |
| Revenue growth 2020→2021 | 8x |
- Scenarios (Base / Bull / Bear - which variables flex):
- Bear: Slower employer logo adds (economic pressure on benefits budgets), lower penetration rates, pricing pressure from competitors.
- Base: Continued 100–150% YoY revenue growth post-2021 (moderating from 8x), steady PEPM pricing.
- Bull: Expansion into health plans/TPAs (broader distribution), international re-acceleration (Australia, Europe), higher penetration per employer as MSK awareness grows.
- Required sheets / outputs:
- Assumptions - all drivers in one place with scenario toggles
- Employer Cohort Model - logo adds by cohort, lives × penetration × enrollment × ARPU
- Revenue Build - enrolled members, active episodes, monthly/quarterly revenue
- P&L - Revenue → Gross Profit → EBITDA (with PT labor, S&M, R&D, G&A)
- Headcount - PT FTE requirements as a function of active member load (key operational constraint)
- Cash / Runway - given no funding info, model implied burn and runway to profitability
- KPI Dashboard - logos, lives covered, enrolled members, ARPU, gross margin %, completion rate
Frequently asked
Is the SWORD Health financial model free?+
Yes. The SWORD Health model is a free Excel (.xlsx) download with live formulas. Sign up with your email and the workbook is yours to keep, review, and edit.
What's included in the model?+
A 5-year monthly forecast with P&L, cash flow and runway, valuation (exit multiple plus a DCF cross-check), MOIC/IRR returns, and unit economics, with live formulas throughout.
How was this model built?+
It was built from SWORD Health's pitch deck and publicly available information, then structured to investment-banking standards as a fully editable Excel model.
Can I change the assumptions?+
Yes. You can change assumptions and the live formulas will recalculate in the downloadable Excel model.
Have more financial modelling questions? Contact us
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