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Cadence Design Systems (CDNS) Financial Forecast Calculator

Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for Cadence Design Systems. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from Cadence Design Systems’s most recent SEC filings.

Revenue FY30
$8.24B
from $4.09B
FCF FY30
$1.61B
Margin 19.5%
Enterprise value
$21.18B
5.2× LTM revenue
Equity value
$21.18B
Net debt $0
Revenue & free cash flow - history and 5-year forecast
Line (area)
Bars
Historicals from SEC EDGAR (grey). Forecast years (color) update live as you move the sliders.

Assumptions

Revenue growth (annual)
15.0%
-10.0%baseline 15.0%40.0%
Gross margin
45.0%
5.0%baseline 45.0%90.0%
Capex % of revenue
3.0%
0.0%baseline 3.0%30.0%
WACC (discount rate)
9.00%
4.0%baseline 9.0%18.0%
Terminal growth
2.50%
0.0%baseline 2.5%5.0%

Need this as an Excel model?

Keep iterating on the Cadence Design Systems forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.

income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, brown brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, green brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, red brand palette

Frequently asked

What does Cadence Design Systems (CDNS) do?+

Cadence Design Systems is a leading provider of electronic design automation (EDA) software, semiconductor intellectual property (IP), and system design and analysis products. The company offers computational software and hardware essential for semiconductor companies and hyperscalers to design complex integrated circuits and electronic systems.

What are the primary revenue drivers for Cadence Design Systems?+

Cadence's revenue is primarily driven by five product categories, including Digital IC Design and Signoff, and Functional Verification. Growth in these areas is fueled by factors like the transition to smaller nanometer nodes, adoption of AI-driven tools, and hardware emulation upgrade cycles.

What is Cadence Design Systems' typical capital expenditure as a percentage of revenue?+

Cadence Design Systems operates an asset-light software model, with capital expenditure typically ranging between 2.0% and 3.5% of revenue. This capex is mostly growth-oriented, focused on expanding cloud infrastructure and R&D server capacity rather than maintenance.

What is the assumed tax rate for Cadence Design Systems in financial models?+

In financial models, Cadence Design Systems' tax rate is often assumed to be approximately 32.03%. This rate is a key input for calculating net income and ultimately free cash flow for valuation purposes.

Can I download an Excel financial model for Cadence Design Systems (CDNS)?+

Yes, a comprehensive Excel financial model for Cadence Design Systems (CDNS) is available for download. This model provides an equity valuation and scenario planning tool, enabling analysts to forecast free cash flow generation.

How does Cadence Design Systems' working capital profile impact its operations?+

Cadence Design Systems benefits from a negative working capital advantage due to collecting cash upfront for term software licenses and maintenance. This dynamic generates significant deferred revenue balances, which effectively fund the company's operations.

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