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Fortinet (FTNT) Financial Forecast Calculator

Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for Fortinet. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from Fortinet’s most recent SEC filings.

Revenue FY30
$13.20B
from $5.30B
FCF FY30
$6.06B
Margin 45.9%
Enterprise value
$78.64B
14.8× LTM revenue
Equity value
$80.52B
Net debt -$1.88B
Revenue & free cash flow - history and 5-year forecast
Line (area)
Bars
Historicals from SEC EDGAR (grey). Forecast years (color) update live as you move the sliders.

Assumptions

Revenue growth (annual)
20.0%
-10.0%baseline 20.0%40.0%
Gross margin
76.7%
5.0%baseline 76.7%90.0%
Capex % of revenue
5.6%
0.0%baseline 5.6%30.0%
WACC (discount rate)
9.00%
4.0%baseline 9.0%18.0%
Terminal growth
2.50%
0.0%baseline 2.5%5.0%

Need this as an Excel model?

Keep iterating on the Fortinet forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.

income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, brown brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, green brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, red brand palette

Frequently asked

How does Fortinet generate revenue, and what is its core business model?+

Fortinet operates a hybrid business model, where hardware appliance sales serve as an entry point for long-term, high-margin subscription and support services. Service Revenue constitutes approximately 65-70% of its business, while Product Revenue makes up 30-35%.

What are the key drivers of Fortinet's revenue growth?+

Fortinet's revenue growth is primarily driven by its recurring subscription and support services, which are initiated through upfront hardware sales. The company's strategic pivot towards Unified SASE and Security Operations is also a significant focus for future expansion.

What is the assumed revenue growth rate in the Fortinet financial model?+

The financial model for Fortinet assumes a revenue growth rate of 20%. This key assumption helps project the company's future top-line performance.

How does Fortinet's working capital profile impact its financial model?+

Fortinet typically maintains a deeply negative net working capital profile, which allows it to fund growth by collecting multi-year subscription cash upfront. This efficient working capital management is a crucial factor in the company's projected cash flow generation within the financial model.

What is the purpose of the Fortinet financial model, and what valuation insights does it provide?+

The Fortinet financial model projects the company's billings-to-revenue conversion and cash flow generation to determine its equity valuation. It helps analysts assess whether Fortinet's strategic shift towards Unified SASE and Security Operations justifies its current market multiple.

Can I download an Excel financial model for Fortinet, and what is its forecast horizon?+

Yes, an Excel financial model for Fortinet is available for download. This model provides a forecast horizon that extends from fiscal year 2026 through fiscal year 2030.

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