Lumentum (LITE) Financial Forecast Calculator
Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for Lumentum. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from Lumentum’s most recent SEC filings.
Assumptions
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Frequently asked
What does Lumentum do?+
Lumentum is a market-leading designer and manufacturer of innovative optical and photonic products. These products are crucial for enabling optical networking and commercial laser applications worldwide, serving a global customer base.
What are Lumentum's primary revenue drivers?+
Lumentum's revenue is predominantly driven by its Cloud & Networking segment, which accounts for approximately 85% of its FY2025 revenue and is experiencing hyper-growth due to AI demand. The company also generates revenue from its Industrial Tech business, though this segment faces cyclical headwinds.
How does Lumentum's capital expenditure strategy impact its financial outlook?+
Lumentum's capital expenditure, typically ranging from 8-14% of revenue, is currently heavily skewed towards growth investments, with about 70% allocated to expansion. This includes significant programs like expanding indium phosphide wafer fab capacity and building out the Thailand transceiver manufacturing facility, which are key uses of cash.
What are the key financial assumptions used in the Lumentum model?+
The Lumentum financial model uses key assumptions such as a revenue growth rate of approximately 3.08% and COGS as about 58.54% of revenue. Other significant assumptions include R&D at 13.25% of revenue, SGA at 15.18% of revenue, and a tax rate of 17.94%.
What is the significance of Lumentum's net working capital in its valuation?+
Lumentum's net working capital is positive and acts as a significant use of cash, particularly during periods of high growth. This is influenced by a high Days Inventory Outstanding (120-150 days) due to long fab cycle times for indium phosphide, which impacts cash flow projections.
Is there an Excel financial model available for Lumentum (LITE)?+
Yes, an Excel financial model for Lumentum (LITE) is available for download. This model offers a comprehensive tool for equity valuation and scenario planning, with a forecast horizon that extends from FY2026 through FY2030.
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