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Microchip Technology (MCHP) Financial Forecast Calculator

Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for Microchip Technology. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from Microchip Technology’s most recent SEC filings.

Revenue FY30
$14.92B
from $8.44B
FCF FY30
$6.05B
Margin 40.6%
Enterprise value
$83.15B
9.9× LTM revenue
Equity value
$77.47B
Net debt $5.68B
Revenue & free cash flow - history and 5-year forecast
Line (area)
Bars
Historicals from SEC EDGAR (grey). Forecast years (color) update live as you move the sliders.

Assumptions

Revenue growth (annual)
12.1%
-10.0%baseline 12.1%40.0%
Gross margin
62.2%
5.0%baseline 62.2%90.0%
Capex % of revenue
3.7%
0.0%baseline 3.7%30.0%
WACC (discount rate)
9.00%
4.0%baseline 9.0%18.0%
Terminal growth
2.50%
0.0%baseline 2.5%5.0%

Need this as an Excel model?

Keep iterating on the Microchip Technology forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.

income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, brown brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, green brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, red brand palette

Frequently asked

What does Microchip Technology do and what are its main products?+

Microchip Technology Incorporated is a broadline supplier of smart, connected, and secure embedded control solutions. The company designs and manufactures microcontrollers, mixed-signal, analog, and Flash-IP integrated circuits used across industrial, automotive, consumer, and communications markets. Its main business segments include Mixed-Signal Microcontroller, Analog, and Other products like FPGA and memory.

What are the primary revenue drivers for Microchip Technology?+

Microchip Technology's revenue is primarily driven by its Mixed-Signal Microcontroller products, which account for approximately 51% of revenue, and Analog products, contributing about 26%. Geographically, Asia is its largest market, accounting for approximately 50% of revenue.

What is Microchip Technology's typical capital expenditure as a percentage of revenue?+

Historically, Microchip Technology's capital expenditure as a percentage of revenue has been 4% to 6%. However, it recently spiked to 8% to 10% to fund US capacity expansion, though these programs are currently paused.

What revenue growth rate is assumed in the Microchip Technology financial model?+

The financial model for Microchip Technology assumes a revenue growth rate of approximately 12.07%. This forecast covers the period from FY2026 to FY2030.

What is the purpose of the Microchip Technology financial model for equity analysts?+

The Microchip Technology financial model forecasts the company's free cash flow and evaluates its equity valuation. This helps equity research analysts determine if the company's aggressive debt deleveraging and capital return program justify a buy rating.

Can I download an Excel financial model for Microchip Technology (MCHP)?+

Yes, an Excel financial model for Microchip Technology (MCHP) is available for download. This general corporate model provides forecasts from FY2026 to FY2030.

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