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Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) Financial Forecast Calculator

Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for Monolithic Power Systems. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from Monolithic Power Systems’s most recent SEC filings.

Revenue FY30
$4.53B
from $1.82B
FCF FY30
$807.2M
Margin 17.8%
Enterprise value
$10.46B
5.7× LTM revenue
Equity value
$10.99B
Net debt -$527.8M
Revenue & free cash flow - history and 5-year forecast
Line (area)
Bars
Historicals from SEC EDGAR (grey). Forecast years (color) update live as you move the sliders.

Assumptions

Revenue growth (annual)
20.0%
-10.0%baseline 20.0%40.0%
Gross margin
56.3%
5.0%baseline 56.3%90.0%
Capex % of revenue
7.2%
0.0%baseline 7.2%30.0%
WACC (discount rate)
9.00%
4.0%baseline 9.0%18.0%
Terminal growth
2.50%
0.0%baseline 2.5%5.0%

Need this as an Excel model?

Keep iterating on the Monolithic Power Systems forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.

income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, brown brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, green brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, red brand palette

Frequently asked

What does Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) do?+

Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) is a fabless global semiconductor company that designs, develops, and markets high-performance, highly integrated power electronics solutions. The company provides power management integrated circuits (PMICs) that reduce energy consumption and improve efficiency across various electronic systems.

What are the main revenue drivers for Monolithic Power Systems' Enterprise Data segment?+

The Enterprise Data segment's revenue is primarily driven by AI Server Volume multiplied by the Power Content per Server. Growth in this segment is heavily influenced by hyperscaler capital expenditure and the adoption of high-power AI accelerators requiring advanced power management.

What is Monolithic Power Systems' typical capital expenditure as a percentage of revenue?+

Monolithic Power Systems typically maintains capital expenditure between 3% to 5% of its revenue. Approximately 80% of this capex is allocated to growth, primarily for expanding internal test capabilities for advanced products.

How does Monolithic Power Systems manage its working capital?+

Monolithic Power Systems maintains a positive working capital profile, with net working capital typically ranging from 15% to 20% of revenue. The company intentionally keeps Days Inventory Outstanding (DIO) high, between 150 to 180 days, to buffer against potential supply chain shocks and fund inventory builds for growth.

Can I download a financial model for Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR)?+

Yes, a downloadable Excel financial model is available for Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR). This model forecasts the company's performance from FY2026 to FY2030, evaluating its equity valuation and growth trajectory.

What is Monolithic Power Systems' business model and competitive position?+

Monolithic Power Systems operates on a fabless semiconductor business model, characterized by asset-light manufacturing, high R&D, and premium margins. The company holds a strong competitive moat as a premium provider of high-density power solutions, particularly for AI servers, competing with larger analog players.

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