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Palantir Technologies (PLTR) Financial Forecast Calculator

Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for Palantir Technologies. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from Palantir Technologies’s most recent SEC filings.

Revenue FY30
$5.54B
from $2.23B
FCF FY30
-$543.0M
Margin -9.8%
Enterprise value
-$4.09B
-1.8× LTM revenue
Equity value
-$3.21B
Net debt -$881.2M
Revenue & free cash flow - history and 5-year forecast
Line (area)
Bars
Historicals from SEC EDGAR (grey). Forecast years (color) update live as you move the sliders.

Assumptions

Revenue growth (annual)
20.0%
-10.0%baseline 20.0%40.0%
Gross margin
74.5%
5.0%baseline 74.5%90.0%
Capex % of revenue
1.3%
0.0%baseline 1.3%30.0%
WACC (discount rate)
9.00%
4.0%baseline 9.0%18.0%
Terminal growth
2.50%
0.0%baseline 2.5%5.0%

Need this as an Excel model?

Keep iterating on the Palantir Technologies forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.

income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, brown brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, green brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, red brand palette

Frequently asked

What does Palantir Technologies do?+

Palantir Technologies builds foundational software platforms that enable organizations to integrate, manage, and secure their data. The company provides software for both the intelligence community and commercial enterprises, allowing them to deploy artificial intelligence and machine learning models securely.

What are Palantir Technologies' main revenue drivers?+

Palantir's revenue is primarily driven by its Government segment, which accounts for approximately 54% of 2025 revenue, and its Commercial segment, contributing about 46%. The United States is the dominant market, generating roughly 74% of total revenue, with international markets making up the remainder.

What is the assumed revenue growth rate for Palantir Technologies in financial models?+

Financial models for Palantir Technologies typically assume a revenue growth rate of 20%. This assumption focuses specifically on the rapid scaling of its Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP) within the United States commercial sector.

What is Palantir Technologies' capital expenditure as a percentage of revenue?+

Palantir Technologies operates with very low capital expenditure, typically ranging from 0.5% to 1.5% of revenue. This capex is almost entirely for maintenance, covering IT equipment and office facilities, reflecting its asset-light software-as-a-service business model.

What is the purpose of the Palantir Technologies financial model?+

The Palantir Technologies financial model forecasts the company's revenue growth, profitability, and cash flow generation. Its primary purpose is to determine the equity valuation of PLTR, focusing specifically on the rapid scaling of its Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP).

Can I download an Excel financial model for Palantir Technologies?+

Yes, an Excel financial model for Palantir Technologies is available for download. This model forecasts the company's financials from FY2026 through FY2030, providing detailed assumptions for revenue growth, margins, and cash flow.

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