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Western Digital (WDC) Financial Forecast Calculator

Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for Western Digital. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from Western Digital’s most recent SEC filings.

Revenue FY30
$2.05B
from $6.25B
FCF FY30
$259.0M
Margin 12.6%
Enterprise value
$8.12B
1.3× LTM revenue
Equity value
$2.24B
Net debt $5.88B
Revenue & free cash flow - history and 5-year forecast
Line (area)
Bars
Historicals from SEC EDGAR (grey). Forecast years (color) update live as you move the sliders.

Assumptions

Revenue growth (annual)
-20.0%
-10.0%baseline -20.0%40.0%
Gross margin
25.1%
5.0%baseline 25.1%90.0%
Capex % of revenue
7.0%
0.0%baseline 7.0%30.0%
WACC (discount rate)
9.00%
4.0%baseline 9.0%18.0%
Terminal growth
2.50%
0.0%baseline 2.5%5.0%

Need this as an Excel model?

Keep iterating on the Western Digital forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.

income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, brown brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, green brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, red brand palette

Frequently asked

What is Western Digital's primary business focus after the SanDisk spin-off?+

Following the 2025 spin-off of its Flash memory division, Western Digital operates as a pure-play hard disk drive (HDD) powerhouse. The company provides critical mass storage infrastructure for hyperscale cloud providers, enterprise servers, and consumer electronics, competing in a consolidated duopoly.

What are the main revenue drivers for Western Digital's HDD business?+

Western Digital's revenue is primarily driven by its Cloud segment, which accounts for approximately 88-90% of its total revenue. The company is positioned to capitalize on the AI-driven data center storage supercycle, with international sales also representing a significant portion of its total revenue.

What is Western Digital's typical capital expenditure as a percentage of revenue?+

For its pure-play HDD business, Western Digital typically incurs capital expenditure ranging from 4-7% of its revenue. A significant portion of this capex, roughly 60%, is growth-oriented, funding major programs like the transition to Heat-Assisted Magnetic Recording (HAMR) technology.

How does Western Digital's asset-heavy business model impact its cost structure?+

Western Digital's asset-heavy manufacturing business model results in immense operating leverage due to high fixed costs associated with fabrication facilities. While variable material costs also contribute, the substantial fixed asset base is a key characteristic of its cost structure.

What is Western Digital's net working capital profile, and why is it positive?+

Western Digital typically maintains a positive net working capital, representing 10-15% of its revenue. This positive working capital profile is essential for funding significant inventory builds, which are necessary to meet the demands of hyperscaler deployments.

Where can I find a financial model for Western Digital's post-spin-off HDD business?+

A comprehensive equity valuation and scenario planning Excel model for Western Digital's pure-play HDD business is available for download. This model provides forecasts through FY2030 and focuses on the company's ability to capitalize on the AI-driven data center storage supercycle.

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